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Boeing’s problems could soon become your problem
  + stars: | 2024-03-15 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
Washington CNN —Boeing’s problems aren’t just Boeing’s. One of America’s biggest manufacturers is dealing with some serious production, quality and safety problems that worsened this week after a 787 Dreamliner plunged suddenly mid-flight, injuring dozens of passengers. Southwest and United earlier this week said they expect Boeing to ship them fewer planes than they planned on receiving, so they’ll hire fewer pilots. (Boeing continued to build the 737 Max throughout the crisis). And Boeing’s years of problems have led to success for its French rival Airbus, which has overtaken Boeing as the world’s largest aircraft manufacturer.
Persons: Washington CNN —, aren’t, ” Kathy Bostjancic, , , ” José Torres, Max, ” Lisa Simon Organizations: Washington CNN, America’s, Boeing, Airbus, Alaska Airlines, Nationwide, CNN, Interactive Brokers, New York Fed, The New, Fed, Boeing hasn’t, Federal Aviation Administration, Revelio Labs Locations: Southwest,
New York CNN —Wall Street was taken aback by the US labor market’s resilience in January. Another unexpectedly hot report could shake things up again. The January jobs report showed that the US economy added a stunning 353,000 jobs that month and the unemployment rate stayed at 3.7%. The new EU regulations force sweeping changes on some of the world’s most widely used tech products, including Apple’s app store, Google search and messaging platforms, including Meta’s WhatsApp. The broad obligations apply only to the EU, which could leave tech users in the United States and other markets looking longingly at some of the features Big Tech is rolling out in response to the European directive.
Persons: Jerome Powell, he’s, , ” Powell, Bonnie Cash, , ’ ”, BeiChen Lin, It’s, Loretta Mester, , José Torres, Meta’s, Brian Fung, Apple, Bing, Read, Elisabeth Buchwald, NYCB, Steven Mnuchin’s, Alessandro DiNello, ” Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal, Financial, Capitol, Reuters, Traders, Russell Investments, ” Cleveland Federal, CNBC, Market, Interactive Brokers, Apple, Google, Union citizens, Big Tech, New York Community Bank, Silicon Valley Bank, Liberty Strategic Capital Locations: New York, Washington ,, United States, NYCB, Silicon
Washington, DC CNN —The Federal Reserve is in no rush to cut interest rates, according to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s written testimony submitted to congressional lawmakers, released Wednesday. Recent economic data showed that price pressures persisted in January, leading investors to recalibrate their expectations for rate cuts this year. Still, the timing and pace of rate cuts remains up in the air. Too soon to cut rates? In a recent interview with CNBC, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin said “we’ll see” if the Fed cuts rates in 2024.
Persons: Jerome Powell’s, Powell’s, inflation’s, , José Torres, “ Young, there’s, Raphael Bostic, Thomas Barkin, , “ I’m, Austan Goolsbee, we’re, Adriana Kugler Organizations: DC CNN, Federal, Fed, Financial, , Interactive Brokers, CNN, Atlanta Fed, CNBC, Richmond Fed, Congress, Chicago Fed, , Stanford University Locations: Washington
That sudden volatility highlights something that we often write about in Before the Bell: the major mismatch between policymaker and investor expectations for interest rate cuts this year. Federal Reserve officials, including Chair Jerome Powell, have repeatedly said they envision at most three rate cuts in 2024. Wall Street, meanwhile, has ignored those warnings and has opted to practice unflinching optimism instead. It’s not the first time they’ve had to learn an important lesson: Don’t fight the Fed. Bad for the markets, good for the Fed: Markets clearly don’t often take kindly to higher-for-longer interest rates, which can negatively impact earnings and stock prices.
Persons: New York CNN —, Jerome Powell, Dow, It’s, they’ve, Don’t, , , Quincy Krosby, Arnim Holzer, José Torres, Chris Zaccarelli, doesn’t, ” Carl Icahn, Carl Icahn, Icahn, Chris Isidore, JetBlue’s, Samantha Delouya, Lyft, Erin Brewer Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Nasdaq, of Labor Statistics, BLS, Treasury, LPL, Fed, Interactive Brokers, CPI, Independent, Alliance, JetBlue, Spirit Airlines, Analysts Locations: New York, December’s, ,
And while the economy usually comes out on top as the issue for most voters, there are doubts over whether even a good economy is enough for Joe Biden to win a second term. Certainly, the improving economy – and most importantly an inflation rate that is trending back to the Federal Reserve’s desired 2% annual target – should be an asset for Biden. “Obviously perceptions of Biden and Trump are largely baked in and have been for a long time” says Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion. “We’re playing at the margins at best.”For Democrats, running on a good economy will present its own challenges. The wing nuts have disproportionate power.”Ramamurti still believes that Biden should emphasize the economy, saying, “I’m of the view that good news is good news.
Persons: Joe Biden, , Jose Torres, ” Powell, , Biden, Al Capone, Alejandro Mayorkas, Bharat Ramamurti, Trump, Lee Miringoff, David Walker, Walker, “ There’s, ” Ramamurti, Ramamurti, Gregory Daco, Pollsters, Mark Zandi Organizations: Federal, Biden, Fed, Interactive, Republicans, Democrats, CBS, Trump, GOP, Homeland, National Economic Council, Marist, , Marist Institute, Public, Biden Administration, Republican, Democratic Party, Democrat, Dow Jones, Moody's Locations: Pennsylvania
That could be a sign that workers feel less confident about the state of the labor market. AdvertisementFriday's blowout jobs report confirmed the labor market is still holding firm, but one often-ignored statistic could signal a looming slowdown. "The second straight 2.2% quits rate — just below the pre-Covid level — is more important, because it clearly signals slower wage gains." "All that air is coming out of the labor market, even though hiring remains strong." "The job market is steadily returning to its pre-pandemic self," Morningstar's Preston Caldwell said in a research note.
Persons: , José Torres, Ian Shepherdson, Philipp Carlsson, Szlezak, Optimists, Morningstar's Preston Caldwell Organizations: Service, of Labor Statistics, Macroeconomics, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Boston Consulting Group, Business, eBay, Los Angeles Times
The firm’s monthly survey showed 107,000 jobs were added, well below the 145,000 estimate. “Progress on inflation has brightened the economic picture despite a slowdown in hiring and pay,” said Nela Richardson, chief economist at ADP. The ADP report comes two days ahead of the Labor Department’s monthly jobs report for January, with consensus estimates for about a 180,000 gain in payrolls after December’s better-than-expected 216,000 increase. “The January jobs report will likely show that the labor market started the year on a solid note,” said Lydia Boussour, EY senior economist. The strong job market and U.S. economic growth in the fourth quarter led the International Monetary Fund to boost its projections of global economic growth this year.
Persons: , Nela Richardson, December’s, Lydia Boussour, EY, , Jerome Powell, José Torres Organizations: ADP, Labor, Federal Reserve, Observers, Interactive, International Monetary Fund, IMF Locations: U.S, payrolls, hawkish,
New York CNN —Stocks of small US lenders are still in the doldrums nearly a year after the regional banking crisis. The KBW Nasdaq Regional Banking index, which tracks the performance of regional lenders and thrifts, has fallen more than 2.4% this year compared to the benchmark S&P 500’s 2.6% gain. “This development is likely to … challenge the health of regional banks,” wrote José Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers, in a note on Thursday. Regional bank stocks struggled for much of 2023 after the collapses of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank sparked a flight on deposits and sent shockwaves through the stock and bond markets. High interest rates threatened to put pressure on regional banks’ bond portfolios and squeeze their bottom lines, creating a good old-fashioned bank run.
Persons: Huntington, PNC Financial Service’s, , José Torres, Alex McGrath, , McGrath, Samantha Murphy Kelly, David McQueen, ” Read, Bryan Mena Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Nasdaq, PNC Financial Services, PNC, Comerica Inc, US Bancorp, Citizens, PNC Financial, Federal Reserve, Interactive Brokers, Valley Bank, Signature Bank, First, Bank, Microsoft, Apple, ABI Research, Gross, Commerce Department Locations: New York, China
“Participants generally noted a high degree of uncertainty surrounding the economic outlook,” the minutes noted. “FOMC minutes reinforced the ’wait and see’ policy stance was unanimous. Focus was on tightening in financial conditions and slowing in inflation and labor market. The central bank will meet on Dec. 12 for a two-day meeting of its monetary policy committee, but the markets are pricing in no increase in interest rates. “I’m expecting continued relief concerning inventory and mortgage rates as the Fed begins cutting rates in the first half of next year,” Torres says.
Persons: , ” Kathy Jones, Jose Torres, “ I’m, ” Torres, Torres Organizations: Schwab Center, Financial Research, Fed, National Association of Realtors, Interactive
MEXICO, Nov 5 (Reuters) - A caravan of at least hundreds of migrants left from the southern Mexican city of Tapachula on Sunday, heading for the U.S. southern border. The smaller caravan plans to join a larger one that left six days ago and is currently stopped about 25 miles (40 km) north in the town of Huixtla. [1/3]Migrants walk along the road in a caravan in an attempt to reach the U.S border, in Tapachula, Mexico November 5, 2023. A record number of people this year have crossed the Darien Gap region connecting Panama and Colombia. Reporting by Jose Torres; Writing by Sarah Kinosian; Editing by Josie KaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
Persons: Jose Torres, Selma Alvarez, Alvarez, Joe Biden, Sarah Kinosian, Josie Kao Organizations: REUTERS, Jose Torres Acquire, CBP, Thomson Locations: MEXICO, Mexican, Tapachula, U.S, Huixtla, Chiapas, Cuba, El Salvador, Guatemala, Haiti, Honduras, Venezuela, Mexico, Darien, Panama, Colombia
ADP: Employers Add Paltry 89,000 Jobs in September
  + stars: | 2023-10-04 | by ( Tim Smart | Oct. | At A.M. | ) www.usnews.com   time to read: +3 min
Employers added only 89,000 jobs in September, well below expectations, private payroll firm ADP said on Wednesday. "We are seeing a steepening decline in jobs this month," said Nela Richardson, chief economist at ADP. The report is the second to come this week on the health of the job market. On Tuesday, the Labor Department issued its report on job openings for August, with a surprising 9.6 million jobs available. While the job market has slowed in 2023, it still remains tight by historical standards.
Persons: Nela Richardson, , Lightcast, Rachel Sederberg, Julia Pollak, José Torres Organizations: ADP, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Interactive Brokers
TAPACHULA, Mexico, Sept 26 (Reuters) - Mexico moved to disperse a major build-up of migrants on its southern border with Guatemala by transporting thousands into nearby towns and setting up a camp to relieve pressure on local authorities, the government said on Tuesday. The National Migration Institute (INM) said it deployed 189 buses and 73 vans to move over 8,000 migrants from the southern city of Tapachula to other parts of the state of Chiapas and the southern states of Veracruz and Tabasco. Nevertheless, on Tuesday morning, thousands of people were still waiting outside COMAR's Tapachula offices, as migrants continued to cross the Suchiate River from Guatemala into Mexico, according to a Reuters witness. [1/8]Asylum seekers cross the Rio Grande river to finish their journey through Mexico to Eagle Pass, in Texas, U.S. as seen from Piedras Negras, Mexico, September 26, 2023. Discussing the railway concerns with U.S. officials at the end of the week, Mexico said the two sides had agreed on a series of measures to tackle the challenge.
Persons: Daniel Becerril, Biden, Jose Torres, Dave Graham, Grant McCool Organizations: Migration Institute, Mexican Commission, Aid, Refugees, National Migration Institute, REUTERS, U.S, Thomson Locations: TAPACHULA, Mexico, Guatemala, Tapachula, Chiapas, Veracruz, Tabasco, Eagle, Texas, U.S, Piedras Negras, United States, Venezuela, Brazil, Nicaragua, Colombia
As a result, they’re almost sure to leave their key interest rate unchanged when their meeting ends Wednesday. Claudia Sahm, a former Fed economist, said she thinks a “soft landing,” in which the Fed manages to curb inflation without causing a recession, remains possible. But she cautioned that inflation might stay higher for longer than the central bank expects. Or, she suggested, the cumulative effects of the Fed's 11 rate hikes could ultimately tip the economy into recession. “I expect we’ll need to hold rates at restrictive levels for some time,” said Susan Collins, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
Persons: they’re, Jerome Powell, Claudia Sahm, ” Sahm, “ They’re, , Christopher Waller, Powell, , They're, Jose Torres, Susan Collins, Lorie Logan, William English Organizations: WASHINGTON, Federal, Wall Street, Fed, Fed's, Governors, CNBC, Interactive, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, Dallas Fed, European Central Bank, Bank of England, Bank of Japan, , Yale School of Management Locations: Jackson Hole , Wyoming, Ukraine, U.S
Inflation is expected to slow because of these trends
  + stars: | 2023-09-17 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +6 min
Washington, DC CNN —US inflation has slowed steadily from its four-decade peak last June, and it’s expected to cool further thanks to easing car prices and rents. Despite the expected inflation drop, she said investors anticipate the Fed will keep interest rates steady and not cut them anytime soon. “It may take a little bit longer than expected for inflation to come down to 2%, and inflation being in a 2-3% range next year is reasonable,” she said. Tuesday: Canada’s statistics agency releases August inflation data. The UK’s Office for National Statistics releases August inflation data.
Persons: we’re, ” José Torres, , , Sarah House, Saira Malik, Michelle Toh, ” Read, General Mills, Christine Lagarde Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, DC CNN, Interactive Brokers, CNN, , , United Auto Workers, CPI, San, San Francisco Fed, National Association of Home Builders, US Commerce Department, Japan’s Ministry of Finance, FedEx, General, National Statistics, Federal Reserve, Darden Restaurants, The Bank of England, US Labor Department, National Association of Realtors, The Bank of Japan, European Central Bank, Global Locations: Washington, Wells Fargo, San Francisco, China, Michelle Toh ., Japan’s
The Federal Reserve’s survey of economic activity released Wednesday showed an economy that was expanding at a modest pace in the summer but facing the challenge of a tapped-out consumer and a slowing labor market. There is less unanimity about what the Fed will do after that, at its November meeting. Services inflation is still sticky, the economy may be growing faster than the Fed would like and the Chinese economy is in a slowdown. “Fed Governor Christopher Waller told CNBC yesterday that recent labor market data, including a decline in job openings, moderating wage increases, and slower job growth in August are encouraging,” said Jose Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers. Having said that, he left the door open for another rate hike because he doesn’t think one more would weaken economic growth significantly given risks remain tilted towards not doing enough.”
Persons: , , ” Rhys Williams, Williams, Christopher Waller, Jose Torres Organizations: CPI, Management, Reserve, Dow Jones, , CNBC, Interactive Locations: , Saudi Arabia, Russia
US stocks climbed following Wednesday's cooler-than-expected ADP jobs report. Private-sector employers added 177,000 jobs this month, below last month's reading of 371,000. Investors cheered as the data came after Tuesday's job-opening data, which was the lowest in two years. That could be a hint that the Labor Department's jobs report on Friday will also indicate a cooler labor market, though the two data sets often diverge. AdvertisementAdvertisementAlso on Wednesday, second-quarter economic growth was revised down to 2.1% from an earlier reading of 2.4%.
Persons: Dow Jones, José Torres Organizations: Service, ADP, Dow, Labor, Federal, Interactive, Nasdaq Locations: Wall, Silicon, Here's
Stock futures rose slightly on Sunday evening as Wall Street looked to shake off a rough start to August. Those for the Nasdaq 100 gained 0.3%, while Dow Jones Industrial Average futures added 0.1%, or 31 points. Last week, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite fell 0.31% and 1.90%, respectively. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, however, gained 0.62% for its fourth positive week in five. The upcoming week could be driven by insights into the state of the U.S. consumer, with earnings reports due from Home Depot, Target and Walmart.
Persons: Jose Torres Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow Jones, Depot, Target, Walmart, Committee, Interactive
CNN —There may not be any lasting major negative ramifications from the surprise US credit rating downgrade by Fitch this week — not for the economy, not for consumers and not for the government’s ability to borrow. Normally, when your credit score as a consumer falls — or your credit rating as a country — there are negative consequences. Here’s why the United States is unlikely to see that kind of impact from the Fitch downgrade. The downgrade wasn’t a huge dropFitch cut its US credit rating to AA+ from what had been a sterling AAA rating. “Fitch’s credit rating is an expression of the probability of a default.
Persons: You’re, Fitch, , brinkmanship, Marc Goldwein, you’re, , Mark Zandi, Yellen, Jamie Dutta, Dutta, ” George Mateyo, ” Mateyo, ” José Torres, Torres, it’s, ” Torres, Uncle Sam, CRFB, – CNN’s Krystal Hur, Allison Morrow Organizations: CNN, Fitch, AAA, Committee, U.S . Treasury, Moody’s, AA, , Vantage, Key Private Bank, Federal Reserve, Interactive Brokers, Moody’s Investors Service, Treasury, Congressional, Social Security Locations: United States, States, corporates, United
What to expect from the Fed’s decision on rates
  + stars: | 2023-07-26 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +8 min
Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks during an annual gathering of central bankers and economists in Wyoming next month could shed more light on what to expect for the September decision. There are three possibilities for what the Fed might do moving forward, according to economists: a second consecutive rate hike in September, one in November, or no more rate hikes after July. The Commerce Department releases the June reading of the Fed’s favorite inflation measure Friday. The Fed held rates steady for nine straight meetings over the span of a year the last time it paused a rate-hiking campaign in 2006. Nearly all of the Fed’s decisions have been unanimous since the central bank began lifting rates in March 2022, with the exception of two meetings early in the Fed’s current inflation battle.
Persons: it’s, Jerome Powell’s, It’s, haven’t, inflation’s, Ben Bernanke, Raphael Bostic, there’s, hawkish, “ Powell, ” Seema Shah, Powell, Christopher Waller, you’re, , José Torres, ” Powell, Jerome Powell Organizations: DC CNN, Federal, Fed, Commerce Department, Market Committee, Atlanta Fed, Asset Management, CNN, , The Labor Department, Interactive Locations: Washington, Wyoming,
What to expect from this week’s Fed meeting
  + stars: | 2023-07-25 | by ( Bryan Mena | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +8 min
After the Fed’s July monetary policy meeting, which concludes on Wednesday, investors will be looking for more details around that potential hike. That’s why the Fed is trying to retain the option of another rate increase in case inflation proves to be more resilient than expected. Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks during an annual gathering of central bankers and economists in Wyoming next month could shed more light on what to expect for the September decision. There are three possibilities for what the Fed might do moving forward, according to economists: a second consecutive rate hike in September, one in November, or no more rate hikes after July. Whatever the Fed decides to do won’t come without a vigorous debate, and perhaps even a dissent, though the Fed has a tradition of collegiality.
Persons: , it’s, Jerome Powell’s, It’s, haven’t, inflation’s, Ben Bernanke, Raphael Bostic, there’s, hawkish, “ Powell, ” Seema Shah, Powell, Christopher Waller, you’re, , José Torres, ” Powell, Jerome Powell Organizations: DC CNN, Federal, Fed, Commerce Department, Market Committee, Atlanta Fed, Asset Management, CNN, , The Labor Department, Interactive Locations: Washington, Wyoming,
Shrinking activity left factories resorting to layoffs, the survey from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) showed on Monday. ISM Manufacturing Business Survey Committee Chair Timothy Fiore described the practise as happening "to a greater extent than in prior months." At face value, the ISM survey is consistent with an economy that is in recession. The ISM survey showed that transportation equipment was the only one of the six biggest industries reporting growth last month. ISM manufacturing PMIWEAK DEMANDThe ISM survey's forward-looking new orders sub-index climbed to a still-subdued 45.6 from 42.6 in May amid increased caution from businesses and consumers alike.
Persons: Timothy Fiore, payrolls, Andrew Hunter, Jonathan Millar, José Torres, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Institute for Supply Management, Manufacturing Business Survey, Federal Reserve, Capital Economics, PMI, Reuters, Treasury, Barclays, Manufacturers, Machinery, Commerce Department, Interactive Brokers, Thomson Locations: homebuilding WASHINGTON, U.S, New York, Miami
The S&P 500 is back within an earshot of its January 2021 all-time high as it rides what is now a 24% upward charge back into bull-market territory. And the founder of Smead Capital Management is betting his strategy work for him again when the hype around artificial-intelligence stocks sputters out. Smead Capital ManagementThat means bad news for the broader index when the episode is over, he said. Smead Capital ManagementSecond, the top seven stocks in the S&P 500 have a collective price-to-free cash-flow ratio near 70. Smead Capital ManagementAnd third, the tech sector of the S&P 500 is hitting valuation levels last seen during the dot-com bubble.
Persons: Bill Smead, you've, Smead, Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley, José Torres Organizations: Morningstar, Smead Capital Management, Apple, Microsoft, Meta, Nvidia, RCA, Smead, Management, Interactive Brokers, Reserve
Washington, DC CNN —Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell testifies before congressional lawmakers this week, starting Wednesday morning with the House Financial Services Committee — just one week after the central bank paused its most aggressive rate-hiking campaign in decades. Indeed, just days after the decision, two Fed officials called for more increases, citing persistent inflationary pressures. Powell will try to quell Democrats’ concerns over the Fed inducing more job losses than necessary and reassure Republicans that the central bank remains committed to fighting inflation. Financial markets see a roughly 77% chance the Fed will hike rates by another quarter point in July, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. The Fed has already published Powell’s semiannual report to Congress, which includes mostly what Powell and the post-meeting statement communicated earlier this month.
Persons: Jerome Powell, “ Powell’s, , José Torres, “ Powell, Christopher Waller, Thomas Barkin, Biden, Brendan Boyle, Powell, Mike Pence, Madhavi Bokil Organizations: DC CNN — Federal, House Financial, Fed, Interactive Brokers, Richmond Fed, , Pennsylvania Democrat, Republicans, US, Moody’s Investors, Moody’s Investors Service Locations: Washington, Pennsylvania
The S&P 500 broke out above a key level. Now what?
  + stars: | 2023-06-04 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
CNN —The S&P 500 index on Friday closed at its highest level in almost a year. The S&P 500 ended last week up 1.8% at about 4,282, marking its best weekly gain since late March. Now that the index has managed to breach the top level of resistance, that raises the question: Does this rally have legs? An equal-weighted version of the S&P 500 is up only about 1.5% for the year. The good news is that the S&P 500 will likely return to trading within the 3,800 - 4,200 range, meaning any downside — at least in the short term — will likely be limited, according to Turnquist.
Persons: Joe Biden’s, , José Torres, Adam Turnquist, “ There’s, , ” Bitcoin, Saqib Iqbal, ” Iqbal, bitcoin, Iqbal, Smucker Compan, Baker Hughes Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, CNN, Federal Reserve, Interactive, LPL, Treasury Department, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, Trading.biz
A photograph shows migrants walking in a caravan in Tapachula, Mexico toward the U.S. border in November 2021, but has been falsely shared on social media as showing migrants that crossed the border in Texas in May 2023. Users shared the aerial photograph of crowds of people walking along a motorway with a caption that reads: “Right now in El Paso, Texas. The photograph was captured by Reuters photographer Jose Torres on Nov. 18, 2021, and shows migrants walking along a road in a caravan toward the U.S. border in Tapachula, Mexico (here). The photograph shows migrants walking in a caravan toward the U.S. border in November 2021. This article was produced by the Reuters Fact Check team.
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